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How Moneyline Bets are Paid Out. Moneyline bets are set in relation to how much a bettor would have to bet to win $100 if betting on the favorite, or how much they’d win if they bet $100 on the underdog. So, for example, to win $100 on the Red Sox in game 1, bettors had to risk $120.
Similarly, you multiple the individual odds of the Moneyline selections to find the parlay odds. This is often easier done when using decimal odds, for example, a three-team parlay with each selection at odds of 3.0 would be calculated by 3.0 x 3.0 x 3.0 for 27.0 or 27-1 parlay odds. Moneyline bets, also called win bets in some parts of the world, are hands down the most popular type of bet available to sports bettors. While they are simple, it’s still important to make sure that you fully understand these bets to ensure you don’t make mistakes and to empower yourself to utilize them for maximum profits. Best Bet: Ducks Moneyline (-111) vs. Sharks (MGMbets) Simply put, the Ducks are bad but they aren’t as bad as the Sharks and they should likely be heavier favorites in this matchup given that they’re at home. Anaheim carries just a 45.7% expected goal rate (xGF%) into this game which is bad but not nearly as bad as San Jose who sits last in.
It comes down to one game, the matchup between the Chiefs and Bucs as the NFL gets set to crown the champion of the 2020-21 NFL season. Will it be a repeat for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs? Or will it be an incredible 7th Super Bowl win for Tom Brady and a second for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers franchise?
The anticipation is palpable…
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday, February 07, 2021 – 06:30 PM EST at Raymond James Stadium
Before turning to the pressing business of predicting the winner of SBLV, let’s just take a moment to savour the fact that the league has actually reached this point at all. With nary a hiccup too, mind you. When the season got underway back in September in the midst of a global pandemic that disrupted training camps, preseason games, and all manner of team interaction, understandably there was an air of cautious optimism. The NFL was getting underway, but no guarantees could be given that the regular season would be completed in its entirety, never mind contemplating the playoffs and Super Bowl 55 going to plan.
Fast forward through five months of rip-roaring action, weeks of scintillating football games being played (in most cases) to largely empty stadiums around the country and… amazingly, delightfully, ecstatically…. the league has arrived to destination Super Bowl 55 in Tampa, Florida. Like a Hollywood movie, the protagonists couldn’t have been any better than had the league handpicked them. A Super Bowl billing between Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady is a quarterback battle for the ages – one that if it lives up to the hype and buzz is sure to be a right cracker and – dare it be said – a total tossup for NFL picks.
That’s not how sportsbooks are calling it though, as the Kansas City Chiefs emerge as the firm road faves to win in straight up betting markets. Depending on your choice betting site, the Chiefs are currently trading anywhere between -165 to -170 to lift the Lombardy Trophy. On the flipside, the Buccaneers are tipped as the considerable home underdogs priced anywhere between +145 and +150 to pull off the upset.
Contrary to this market stance, the betting is split down the middle with action coming down the wire on both sides of the coin in equal measure. At the time of writing (Tuesday, February 2,), the Chiefs and Bucs have 50% of the tickets apiece. If that’s not an indication that the public at least considers this game to be a coin-flip, what is?
Are the Bucs Underrated at the Expense of the Chiefs?
Without a doubt, the Chiefs are the team to beat going into Super Bowl LV. They’re a well-oiled machine that has made a habit of winning since Patrick Mahomes took over the reins from Alex Smith in 2018. His first two years were a magic carpet ride with first an AFC Championship appearance in 2018 and then winning SBLIV a year later. What Mahomes accomplished in his short career is certainly impossible to overlook, and that very fact is partly why the Chiefs are widely expected to come up trumps on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium.
Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady have split their four career meetings evenly, 2-2 SU, but Patrick Mahomes owns the “W” in the last two. Mahomes beat Tom Brady in his last season with the Patriots during the regular season, and he beat Brady in his first season with the Bucs during the regular season 27-24 at Raymond James Stadium. However, it’s worth pointing out one interesting trend here: the team that has won in the regular season is 6-7 SU in a Super Bowl rematch.
Ever since Tom Brady made the move out of New England and signed with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, betting sites elevated Tampa Bay’s odds in Super Bowl 55 betting markets, moving them into top contention – a position that was as foreign as winning itself was. In 2019, Tampa Bay finished 7-9 SU in Bruce Arians first season with the organization. They were 5-11 the two years prior. Heck, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ combined record is under .500. over the last decade in the NFL. But lo and behold, they’re Super Bowl bound in 2020, and there’s no mystery why that’s the case. Two words: Tom Brady.
Bruce Arians himself acknowledged that it took “one man to turn around the organization overnight from the league’s punching bag to a Super Bowl contender. The remarkable turnaround is the single most underrated achievement by the current Super Bowl betting market as it were. Not even Joe Montana did what Tom Brady has done in his second act.
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Brady’s achievement is made all the more splendid, inspirational, courageous, breath-taking…there’s no end to the hyperbole one could trot out on this occasion… for the simple fact that he, at 43 years of age, defied his critics and naysayers that were all too eager to write him off in his new adventure. Even suggesting it would be impossible for Brady to enjoy a fraction of the success he had with the New England Patriots, as if he were half the man without Bill Belichick at his side.
Tale told, Brady put paid on his critics and turned preconceived notions upside down by leading the Buccaneers to Super Bowl 55. If he can go one better and beat the highly-fancied Kansas City Chiefs, it would be an amazing victory. Perhaps, his greatest Super Bowl victory of all.
NFL Betting Predictions and Picks
Across the board, sports media writers, pundits, armchair critics appear to be cornering their Super Bowl pick with the Kansas City Chiefs. While it’s understandable why many would lean towards the Chiefs, it’s surprising to discover that finding a pick that serves up the Buccaneers to upset the Chiefs is like looking for a needle in the haystack. In the interest of symmetry and... to play a bit of devil’s advocate – maybe it’s time an NFL betting article goes boldly where few have gone before…
Betting the Chiefs is a sound bet, one that is impossible to argue with it at all. Bettors could do no worse than bet the Chiefs to win. However, Tom Brady has won more championship titles in his career than any other player or team in the league. In one year – a pandemic induced year, mind you – he singlehandedly turned around a franchise and led it to SBLV. That’s just bonkers. If that’s not an indication that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are dangerous floaters in this game, what is?
Put it simply, if the team is buying what Tom Brady is selling, shouldn’t everyone?
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NFL Pick:Buccaneers +150 with Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)
*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.